Thursday, 23 November 2017

Fancy a Jet or Two on Taobao?

Two jets from Jade Cargo International were auctioned off on Taobao
You can buy just about anything on Taobao, the Chinese online shopping site -- even an airplane -- or two.

On Tuesday two Boeing 747-400 freighters were sold on Taobao for 332.8 million yuan (US$49 million), the first time in the world such planes have ever been sold in this online auction format.

They were sold after six failed attempts to sell them in offline private auctions organized by the seller -- a state court -- in the past few years.

You can find just about anything on shopping site Taobao
China's largest private courier, SF Express confirmed it had bought the two jets from the Intermediate People's Court in Shenzhen, which seized them after Jade Cargo International filed for bankruptcy in 2013.

Originally there were three Boeing 747-400s up for auction, but one was unsold (at 122.6 million yuan), which is parked at Shenzhen Baoan International Airport. The other two are at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with an opening bid of 133.8 million yuan and 135 million yuan.

The final prices of the two planes were 160.8 million yuan and 162 million yuan, up 20 percent from the opening bids.

One of the winning bids for one of the Boeing 747-400
Before the auction started, the bidders had to make security deposits of over 6 million yuan for each plane, and the winning bidder has to send the full payment within 15 days.

The Shenzhen court has been trying to sell off the planes since 2015 for a total of 1.32 billion yuan, and in September it finally put them on Taobao at a much cheaper total price of 391 million yuan.

Interesting to note that demand for Boeing 747s is dropping, with airlines phasing them out by the end of the year. But why not as a courier plane? SF Express said earlier this year that it would spend 2.7 billion yuan on buying planes and recruiting pilots.

Wednesday, 22 November 2017

Hardly Bridging Hong Kong's Priorities

What the Hong Kong-Macau-Zhuhai bridge will look like, when it's done
Following yesterday's blog post about how the Hong Kong government isn't doing enough for its own poverty-stricken residents, it will have to spend another HK$11.8 billion on the Hong Kong-Macau-Zhuhai bridge.

The main section of the project, a 22.9km bridge and 6.7km undersea tunnel is situated in mainland waters. The Hong Kong government has to ask the Legislative Council for more money because a 2008 document says Hong Kong would pay for 50.2 percent of the 31 billion yuan cost of the main bridge, while the mainland would shell out 35.1 percent, and Macau 14.7 percent.

A map detailing where the bridge and tunnel are situated
How it got to those uneven percentages is strange, but there you have it, and Hong Kong has to bear the vast majority of the cost. Will we be using it 50.1 percent of the time too?

Lawmakers have told the government to give a detailed explanation and be prepared for lots of questions.

In February and October the Transport and Housing Bureau told lawmakers that the bridge would cost more than expected due to an "increase in labour and material costs as well as the refinement of the design and construction schemes".

However an exact amount -- HK$11.8 billion -- wasn't disclosed until yesterday.

Frankie Yick Chi-ming, chairman of Legco's transport panel, said there would be "lots of questions" from legislators when the government applies for more funding for the bridge.

Construction of the bridge's border crossing facility
"The key question I have is if 10 billion [yuan] is the final number," he said.

Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po is in Beijing and he admitted he didn't know yet how much of the budget overrun Hong Kong had to bear, but would be calculated according to "an established mechanism" as agreed by all sides when the agreement was signed.

So a huge infrastructure project that gives Hong Kong an opportunity to kowtow to Beijing that is costing billions in extra cost is worth more than trying to help the poor get a leg-up in society.

It's a sad state of affairs really. We need more resources to help our own residents live better lives than splashing out on white elephant infrastructure projects...

Tuesday, 21 November 2017

Hong Kong's Growing Poor Population

Over 1 million people in Hong Kong live on or below the poverty line
Following yesterday's news that someone paid a mind-boggling HK$1.16 billion for two flats on The Peak, today's story is another whopping figure -- the number of poor in Hong Kong could be over 1 million next year, even after taking into account cash handouts from the government.

The Hong Kong Poverty Situation Report for 2016 was released a few days ago and showed that 1.35 million of the city's 7.35 million residents were living below the official poverty line. When taking into account cash handouts, the number drops to 996,000.

Law claims the government is doing its best for the poor
To determine who is poor, the authorities only look at income and not assets. The poverty line is decided at half the median monthly household income according to household size.

Last year the poverty line was set at HK$4,000 per month for a single person, HK$9,000 for a two-person household, and HK$15,000 for three people.

"If income rises quickly and the [increase in] inflation is slower than that of income, then the poverty gap becomes bigger," said Secretary for Labour and Welfare Dr Law Chi-kwong on two radio programs.

Also last year the Low-income Working Family Allowance Scheme was launched -- cash handouts for people living below or near the poverty line. They could get from HK$300 to HK$1,000 a month for adults, and HK$400 or HK$800 for children.

However, only 30,000 people benefited from the scheme.

Many of the poor are elderly with not enough savings
Last year the poverty figures were the highest since the city began measuring in 2009, with 7,000 more impoverished people than in 2015.

Law disagreed with criticism that the government made matters worse for the poor because there were more living near or below the poverty line despite the handouts.

"It's not that the government has not done more [to help], but that what it has done is not enough to close the gap," he said.

For someone who used to be with the Democratic Party and then quit in order to serve Carrie Lam's administration, this response is troubling. The government does not seem to realize that it's crucial to lift people out of poverty otherwise their numbers keep growing as we are seeing now.

The way to do that is to raise the minimum wage as Labour Party lawmaker Fernando Cheung Chiu-hung has suggested, as well as a non-means tested universal retirement scheme to help the elderly, as many of them are financially challenged due to inflation.

Some supplement their savings with collecting cardboard
Hong Kong is a very wealthy city, though the gap between the rich and the poor is widening so much that it's staggering how great the chasm is. And yet the government doesn't do enough to help the poor. Small amounts of handouts here and there are barely enough to feed people let alone help pay their rent.

There are a few who may own flats that are worth a lot, but if they sell, where are they going to move to? Or their place is so run down they can't afford to have it fixed up, so they are stuck in a dilemma too.

Decades ago, as long as one worked hard, they would be eventually pay their dues and be able to establish themselves. Nowadays working hard isn't enough to get ahead because of inflation and salaries remain stagnant.

Is the Hong Kong government really that blind to the situation? Piecemeal handouts are barely a band-aid solution to the issue. There needs to be a systematic way of accounting for every poor person in Hong Kong, figuring out their needs and finding an effective way to tackle them, be it low-income housing, social welfare, finding jobs or retraining.

The sooner this is done, the better, otherwise there are going to be many more people on or below the poverty line next year.

Monday, 20 November 2017

Invest in Car Park Spaces

The uber wealthy can afford outrageously expensive prices for real estate
It was just reported today that someone bought two flats on The Peak for HK$1.16 billion (US$149 million). That calculates to HK$131,000 per square foot for Mount Nicholson, a luxury development project.

Prices for private housing rose again in September for the 18th consecutive month, making home ownership even further away for home buyers looking to get into the market.

Which is why some people maybe turning to buying up car park spaces in order to get into the real estate market. The value of these rectangular spaces in the garage are rising faster in value than flats in Hong Kong.

The rest of us might be speculating on car park spaces
A study conducted by brokerage houses in three private housing estates -- Provident Garden in North Point, Mei Foo Sun Chuen in Lai Chi Kok and Island Harbourview in Tak Kok Tsui -- found the parking spots in these places jumped on average of a whopping 167 percent compared to 52 percent for residential units in the last six years.

In the same period, second-hand homes rose an average 84 percent across the city, according to data from the Rating and Valuation Department.

"It is even normal to find parking spaces transacted at above HK$2 million, and HK$1 million is becoming the entry point for parking spaces in Hong Kong," said Alun Jin, a property analyst at Mizuho Securities.

Even Sha Tin parking spots are sizzling hot -- one was sold last week at HK$2.5 million, and another at Tseung Kwan O Plaza for HK$2.08 million.

Jin attributes the high prices to real estate developments constructing fewer parking spaces. Between 2006 to 2016, the number of registered private cars rose 48 percent to 189,281. But the number of car park spaces only increased by 9 percent or 54,520 units according to Mizuho Securities.

But is it worth plonking down HK$2 million for a car park space -- up to HK$4 million in Kennedy Town -- and then renting it out only for a few thousand a month? How long would it take to finally make your money back?

However, hold onto it long enough and you could possible double or triple your money back in a shorter time span than if you bought a flat in the same period....

Sounds like another real estate bubble forming already...